kpanic

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $732.61
Potential profit: $732.61
User PnL: -$125

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $645.16
Potential profit: $645.16
User PnL: -$200

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $414.26
Potential profit: $414.26
User PnL: -$250

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $357.14
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $203.89
Potential profit: $203.89
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.41
Potential profit: $153.41
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.89
Potential profit: $138.89
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $127.78
Potential payout: $138.89
Potential profit: $11.11
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $27.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.12
Potential profit: $121.12
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.64
Potential profit: $113.64
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.95
Potential profit: $78.95
User PnL: -$15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $58.9
Potential payout: $59.52
Potential profit: $0.63
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $8.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.92
Potential profit: $21.92
User PnL: -$15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.42
Potential profit: $10.42
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.25
Potential profit: $7.25
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.44

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET