Yes position
Will Trump announce Michelle Bowman as next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Polymarket Trader
saffron84arthur
0x9387c54b921bd33377fa83ce61bb8600a2625607
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $0.83
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
FDA approves UX111?
Ends Aug 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump announce Michelle Bowman as next Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
FDA approves UX111?
Ends Aug 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump meet with Pope Leo in August?No 98.3% 47 shares
- Will Trump meet with Pope Leo in August?No 98.4% 47 shares
- FDA approves UX111?No 99.5% 42 shares
- Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025?No 97.8% 8 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% in 2025?No 96.6% 13 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% in 2025?No 96.5% 13 shares
- Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?Yes 7.4% 90 shares
- Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?No 96.3% 33 shares
- Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?Yes 7.4% 42 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No 96% 11 shares
- Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 97.8% 35 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No 96% 11 shares