Polymarket Trader

SukMadic

0x93b356349d65877d0b2570f174b4688682f6893e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $186.14
Realized PnL: $5.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.02K
Potential profit: $7.02K
User PnL: -$3.15K

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $4.71
Potential payout: $3.14K
Potential profit: $3.14K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$26.81

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$83

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.89K
Potential profit: $1.89K
User PnL: -$65.79

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $61.5
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.44K
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$67.4

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $16
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $984
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$50.5

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $41
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $959
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $19.26
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $880.74
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$5.74

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $30.03
Potential payout: $741.41
Potential profit: $711.39
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$44.97

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $662.86
Potential profit: $662.86
User PnL: -$41.75

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$102

Yes position

Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $571.59
Potential profit: $571.59
User PnL: -$19.2

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $568.4
Potential profit: $568.4
User PnL: -$34.48

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $422.03
Potential profit: $422.03
User PnL: -$36.64

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $399.99
User PnL: -$30.5

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $290
Potential profit: $290
User PnL: -$67.58

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $286.67
Potential profit: $286.67
User PnL: -$31.6

Yes position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $5.12
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $244.87
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$31.37

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $220
Potential profit: $220
User PnL: -$5.04

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $217.86
Potential profit: $217.86
User PnL: -$23

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $8.52
Potential payout: $210.29
Potential profit: $201.77
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$10.28

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17K

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $704.53

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.58

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.28

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.36

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.32

No position

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.1

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.4

Yes position

Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.89

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.09

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.89

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.38

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.97

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.75

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.1

Yes position

US military action on Yemen before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.8

Yes position

Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.8

Yes position

Israel military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.6

No position

Israel strike on Iran on June 24?

Ends Jun 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $9.99

No position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.55

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.35

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 2.5% 300 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?

Yes 1.8% 500 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Yes 0.5% 1,000 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Yes 2.7% 74.88 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 15% 40 shares
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?

No 97.3% 111.87 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 91.5% 25 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 6.5% 42.3 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?

Yes 4.9% 100 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Yes 0.9% 1,000 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Yes 0.9% 1,000 shares
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

Yes 7% 100 shares