Polymarket Trader

judw

0x93b6a05512b738bc1c5e43a1c0d0ebc69e18392c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $70.35
Realized PnL: $3.72
Win rate: 37.5%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 42.1%
Current value: $10.01
Potential payout: $23.77
Potential profit: $13.76
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $6.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $22.14
Potential profit: $22.13
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 15.8%
Current value: $3.41
Potential payout: $21.64
Potential profit: $18.23
Multiplier: 6.35x
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $9.01
Potential payout: $21.2
Potential profit: $12.19
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $5.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $21.15
Potential payout: $21.16
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $10.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $3.57
Potential payout: $21.02
Potential profit: $17.45
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$4.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $7.95
Potential payout: $20.93
Potential profit: $12.98
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$2.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $9.35
Potential payout: $20.77
Potential profit: $11.42
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20.77
Potential profit: $20.76
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$7.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 102-103°F on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$8.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $19.47
Potential profit: $19.46
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $18.19
Potential profit: $18.18
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$10.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $1.44
Potential payout: $5.86
Potential profit: $4.43
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $1.65
Potential payout: $5.79
Potential profit: $4.14
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 5?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $2.77
Potential payout: $5.28
Potential profit: $2.51
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $8.08

Yes position

Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $1.31

Yes position

Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0.66

No position

Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: -$1.36

No position

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: -$1.59

No position

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: -$1.63

Yes position

Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.77

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 5?

Yes 53% 5.28 shares
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 5?

Yes 19% 5.79 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 5?

Yes 38% 5.39 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 5?

Yes 37% 5.41 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 5?

Yes 38% 5.39 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 5?

Yes 14.6% 11.64 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 5?

Yes 44% 5.34 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 5?

Yes 35% 5.43 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 5?

Yes 33.1% 5.44 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 5?

Yes 12.9% 11.63 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on July 5?

Yes 16.1% 11.2 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 5?

Yes 14% 12.14 shares