Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the FL-18 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $432.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $67.5
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$12.5
Polymarket Trader
mataharibisu
0x93bc7d96ca7ab00f7a9714ba3388a3b3899c2ec2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.07K
- Realized PnL
- $263.52
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $498.5
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$233.5
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $217.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $282.5
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$57.5
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $196.75
- Potential payout
- $442.13
- Potential profit
- $245.38
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$90.64
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $42.36
- Potential payout
- $302.57
- Potential profit
- $260.21
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$18.15
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $29.98
- Potential payout
- $199.87
- Potential profit
- $169.89
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$7.99
Yes position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $94.54
- Potential payout
- $164.42
- Potential profit
- $69.88
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$40.28
No position
Will Grace Meng be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.45
- Potential profit
- $90.45
- User PnL
- -$6.24
Yes position
Will Charles Park be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.44
- Potential profit
- $78.44
- User PnL
- -$4.55
Yes position
Over $10M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $20.66
- Potential payout
- $61.66
- Potential profit
- $41
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.92
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the FL-15 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $7.08
- Potential payout
- $44.23
- Potential profit
- $37.15
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $9.8
- Potential payout
- $29.7
- Potential profit
- $19.9
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.4%
- Current value
- $13.53
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $10.47
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $1.13
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $2.32
- Potential profit
- $0.57
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.02
ex-RUBY position
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffs
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
TYLOO position
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18
Up position
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.4
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.28
Over position
Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.94
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.3
Miami Marlins position
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.92
Spirit position
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.93
Ursa position
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffs
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.45
OpenAI position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Over position
Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Team Yandex position
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.48
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 41%
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- $7.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
Up position
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.91
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.75
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.63
Up position
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.63
Down position
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 22-28?Yes 96% 10.42 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 24?Yes 97.8% 10.21 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 24?Yes 96.7% 10.34 shares
- Will the announcers say "Record" during the Norway Vs Senegal FIFA World Cup Match?No 22% 24 shares
- Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 10–15%?Yes 3% 22.34 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 15?Yes 96% 10.42 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 14?Yes 90% 11.1 shares
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere 61% 5.41 shares
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Draw at halftime?Yes 51% 604.55 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?Yes 98.9% 10.11 shares
- LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group CG2 NORD 34% 16.59 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 on June 10?Yes 95% 10.53 shares