Polymarket Trader

randstaff

0x93bdc711997511bfed9f183dbf079628a9ea59ce

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $15.58
Realized PnL: $5.62K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.08K
Potential profit: $87.08K
User PnL: -$787.75

Yes position

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $15.58
Potential payout: $10.38K
Potential profit: $10.37K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$5.19

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$825

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$1.58K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 12PM ET

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $379.17
Potential profit: $379.17
User PnL: -$15.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.61
Potential profit: $181.61
User PnL: -$7.26

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $923.99

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on March 8, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $777.19

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $745.37

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $726.59

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $639.99

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $398.72

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $386.06

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $288

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245.95

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38.15

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on March 19, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $22.4

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.51

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.28

Yes position

Total Internet Blackout in Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.27

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.11

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on March 10, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.68

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.3

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.04

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on March 18, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.79

No position

Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.67

Yes position

Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

No 70% 1,600 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Yes 18% 2,099.99 shares
Netanyahu out by March 31?

Yes 1.6% 1,899.98 shares
US forces enter Iran by March 14?

Yes 1% 10,563.27 shares
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?

Yes 1.4% 4,876.24 shares
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

No 1% 4,242.48 shares
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

No 3.7% 4,315.16 shares
Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

Yes 1% 1,640.3 shares
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

No 0.9% 5,226.5 shares
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?

Yes 13% 1,354.46 shares
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?

Yes 29.9% 569 shares
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?

Yes 29.6% 568.44 shares