No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $2.84K
- Potential payout
- $3.51K
- Potential profit
- $668.66
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $1.09K
Polymarket Trader
efdfreeret
0x93d4f04b2e4259899c75505beac9cba55983bd5c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.86K
- Realized PnL
- -$1.07K
- Win rate
- 46.2%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $7.39
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $29.65
- Multiplier
- 5.01x
- User PnL
- -$2.61
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $11.28
- Potential payout
- $12.2
- Potential profit
- $0.91
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.28
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.57
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.34
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.87
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy hold 400k+ BTC before 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.81
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.51
No position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
No position
Will 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.28
Yes position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Biden drops out in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$31.01
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.1%
- Multiplier
- 5.25x
- User PnL
- -$1.14K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?No 86% 8.14 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 82% 12.2 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 95.6% 2,126.57 shares
- Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?No 99.1% 1,275.2 shares
- Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?No 99.2% 1,275.2 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 27% 37.04 shares
- Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 0.6% 12,500 shares
- Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes 0.8% 12,500 shares
- US recession in 2025?No 74% 13.51 shares
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?Yes 29% 27.59 shares
- Will 'Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga' gross most in 2024?No 99.8% 100.1 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?No 66% 23.14 shares