Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.14
- Potential payout
- $2.28K
- Potential profit
- $2.28K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$25.67
Polymarket Trader
awesomejack
0x93da4bfb2750ca26f5f25c4007797e27933b2a34
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $194.1
- Realized PnL
- $1.45K
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $577.16
- Potential profit
- $577.16
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $110.42
- Potential payout
- $416.67
- Potential profit
- $306.25
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $10.42
Yes position
Will Armenia Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $366.06
- Potential profit
- $366.06
- User PnL
- -$22.63
Yes position
Anthropic CEO arrested?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.55
- Potential payout
- $277
- Potential profit
- $276.45
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.45
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $270.27
- Potential profit
- $270.27
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $81.99
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $18
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $742.37
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $210.89
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.7
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $87
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $84.28
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.07
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.63
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.79
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $30.86
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during National Agriculture Day events?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.18
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $19.77
Yes position
Will Strong Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.04
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.54
No position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.94
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will "Best Friend" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.6
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.13
Yes position
Will Trump say "Jesus" during National Agriculture Day events?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$28.77
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30.46
No position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- -$31.14
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- -$53.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 49% 961.53 shares
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 67.8% 691.88 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 7% 2,099.47 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 52% 961.54 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 9.6% 1,041.67 shares
- Will Strong Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?Yes 5% 140.43 shares
- Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?No 64% 20 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 9.5% 1,057.81 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 81% 617.28 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 24% 416.67 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 97.1% 823.89 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yes 34.7% 577.16 shares