Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $280
- Potential profit
- $280
- User PnL
- -$187.6
Polymarket Trader
xfm-1-5
0x93f59a206427194448459106107b57e8c5923699
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $119.89
- Realized PnL
- -$5.71
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $119.89
- Potential payout
- $194.94
- Potential profit
- $75.05
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $26.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Ledger IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $107.3
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $42.28
No position
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
No position
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $370 end of February?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will Meta (META) finish week of February 9 above $610?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.2
No position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$62.4
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 4, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$91
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No 69% 270 shares
- Ledger IPO before 2027?No 64% 290 shares
- Ledger IPO before 2027?No 27% 15.49 shares
- Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No 16% 240 shares
- Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No 42% 240 shares
- Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?No 99.8% 90 shares
- Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?No 99.9% 90 shares