Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $30K
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $20.75K
Polymarket Trader
not-gOaTbAnKeR
@gOaTbAnKeR
0x94118afebda1d20c056fabcb0f530890807563c7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $31.05K
- Realized PnL
- $46.15K
- Win rate
- 43.5%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$5.8K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.87K
- Potential profit
- $15.87K
- User PnL
- -$9.68K
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$5.7K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $949.99
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.05K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$3.45K
No position
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $47.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.95K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$2.55K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$2.39K
Yes position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $50.43
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- -$85.16
No position
Will Infinex launch a token by February 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.41
- Potential profit
- $24.41
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.41K
Yes position
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.91K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.61K
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.43K
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.96K
No position
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.34K
Yes position
Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $934.29
No position
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $761
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.78
Yes position
Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20.06
Yes position
Over $40M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$134.63
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$168.43
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$289.54
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$703.24
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$703.36
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$999.83
No position
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.19K
No position
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.34K
No position
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.47K
Yes position
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.9K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.12K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5.37K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 41.1% 29,999.92 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 68.1% 29,999.97 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 54% 2,962.47 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 61% 7,780.58 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 27% 10,000 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 70% 1,183.44 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 62% 3,851.87 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 14.3% 19,999.94 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 44% 6,025.74 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 61% 15,849.24 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes 46.4% 20,000 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes 26.5% 9,999.99 shares