Polymarket Trader

Mwhale

@ZCorgna1952

0x9419d77566df79c2f8c6679c9933c2ac76aea40f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.86K
Realized PnL: $16.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $9.61K
Potential payout: $10.13K
Potential profit: $521.66
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $180.6

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $148.53
Potential payout: $2.94K
Potential profit: $2.79K
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $48.53

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $2.62K
Potential payout: $2.65K
Potential profit: $34.45
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$7.95

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $79
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.92K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$50.2

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $18.75
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.37K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$6.25

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.8%
Current value: $275.97
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.05K
Multiplier: 4.82x
User PnL: $169.57

Yes position

Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $837.2
Potential profit: $837.2
User PnL: -$10.34

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $688.24
Potential profit: $688.24
User PnL: -$119

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $72.47
Potential payout: $650
Potential profit: $577.52
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$28.02

No position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $44.1
Potential payout: $52.5
Potential profit: $8.4
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $0.52

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.24K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.93K

No position

France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.61K

No position

Iran leadership change by March 13?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $897.82

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $890

No position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $849.21

No position

US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $787.91

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $573.55

No position

Iran leadership change by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $549.89

No position

US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $526.47

No position

US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $450.94

No position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $444.73

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $389.48

No position

US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $373.4

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $370

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $348.5

No position

Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $305.46

No position

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-01?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $304.24

Yan position

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $299.4

No position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $285.61

No position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $284

No position

US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $276

Benn position

Chris Eubank Jr. vs Conor Benn Nov 15, 2025

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $261

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 2,380.95 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.3% 1,869.15 shares
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 2,272.72 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.4% 2,500 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 4,999.99 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 88% 760.88 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 98.3% 534.79 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.8% 1,388.89 shares
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.1% 2,272.73 shares
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1% 2,500 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 53% 3,934.99 shares
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

No 96.7% 10.82 shares