ligeiwoguolai

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $415.91
Potential payout: $2.87K
Potential profit: $2.45K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$202.88

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $36.67
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $2.19K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$3.33

Yes position

Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $304.72
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $991.96
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$170.15

Yes position

Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $232.57
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$147.8

Yes position

Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $421.37
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $817.96
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$16.66

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $79.88
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$39.23

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $400.14
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $612.87
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $121.48

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $184.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $815.5
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $54.5

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $117.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $882.5
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $6.5

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid reach $92 in June?

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $99.78
Potential payout: $992.81
Potential profit: $893.03
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$20.61

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $102.8
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $697.2
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: -$8.2

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid reach $88 in June?

Implied probability: 15.1%
Current value: $116.9
Potential payout: $776.75
Potential profit: $659.85
Multiplier: 6.64x
User PnL: -$14.21

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $95.55
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $604.45
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$15.45

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid reach $84 in June?

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $124.19
Potential payout: $468.62
Potential profit: $344.44
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$15.97

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $304.1
Potential payout: $460.76
Potential profit: $156.66
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $155.08

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $2.89
Potential payout: $445.13
Potential profit: $442.23
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$142.36

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in June?

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $67.58
Potential payout: $436
Potential profit: $368.42
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$181.25

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.91
Potential payout: $423.95
Potential profit: $422.04
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$96.89

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $9.86
Potential payout: $419.64
Potential profit: $409.78
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$15.14

Yes position

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $321.75
Potential payout: $390
Potential profit: $68.25
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $32.95

Yes position

Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $115.26
Potential payout: $384.19
Potential profit: $268.93
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: -$88.85

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $175
Potential payout: $294.12
Potential profit: $119.12
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $75

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $19.9
Potential payout: $270.73
Potential profit: $250.84
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$9.61

Yes position

Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $231.61
Potential payout: $243.29
Potential profit: $11.68
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $51.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.44K

T1 position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.88K

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46K

Yes position

Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3K

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $788.64

Yes position

Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $714.71

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $589.28

No position

Will the government shutdown end November 12?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $555.38

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $491.29

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $387.41

Yes position

Will Stable launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $378.41

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $297.82

No position

BitBoy convicted?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $275.71

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265.6

Yes position

Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $256.31

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $251.49

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $232.42

Bilibili Gaming position

Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.86

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of January?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.62

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169

No position

Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.1

Yes position

Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.49

Yes position

Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.56

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?