No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $1.21
- Potential payout
- $115.38
- Potential profit
- $114.17
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Polymarket Trader
0x941f...2a61
0x941f3c8c3a1342ad0d09602d64bbbee2858d2a61
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $45.96
- Realized PnL
- -$1.57
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $5.45
- Potential payout
- $12.82
- Potential profit
- $7.37
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.15B?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $7
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $3
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $3.83
- Potential payout
- $8.6
- Potential profit
- $4.77
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$3.31
No position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $3.2
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $4.8
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $4
- Potential payout
- $7.93
- Potential profit
- $3.92
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
No position
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $4.37
- Potential payout
- $7.1
- Potential profit
- $2.74
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Yes position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $1.87
- Potential payout
- $6.81
- Potential profit
- $4.94
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $4.94
- Potential payout
- $6.41
- Potential profit
- $1.47
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $5.02
- Potential payout
- $6.23
- Potential profit
- $1.22
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $5.07
- Potential payout
- $6.07
- Potential profit
- $1
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.89
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.99
No position
Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group Think" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
Y
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Chair" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.55
Y
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.56
No position
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.14
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?No 78% 6.41 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 77% 6.23 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?Yes 27% 6.81 shares
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?No 46% 9 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 1.3% 115.38 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 53% 8.83 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 17?Down 43% 7 shares
- Will Warsh say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?Yes 32% 8 shares
- Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No 81% 6.07 shares
- Will Warsh say "Groupthink" or "Group Think" during June Press Conference?No 69% 7.3 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?No 34% 7.5 shares
- Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes 56% 7.93 shares