Polymarket Trader

flexer78

@flexer_78

0x9422f0e5a2c4358bdd2a901aa2a31f58e04ef273

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $290.5
Realized PnL: $3.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will MUNDO-GB  win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $9.18
Potential payout: $3.67K
Potential profit: $3.66K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$235.35

Saudi Arabia position

Spread: Saudi Arabia (-3.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $997.5
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Belgium win the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $15.18
Potential payout: $799.04
Potential profit: $783.86
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$18.88

Yes position

Will Erin Mendenhall be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $764.9
Potential profit: $764.52
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Seattle have between 0.5 and 1 inches of precipitation in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $2.19
Potential payout: $624.42
Potential profit: $622.23
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $1.56

Yes position

Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $504.99
Potential profit: $504.74
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$10.25

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

Qatar position

Spread: Qatar (-4.5)

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $497.75
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.25
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.5
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

Bosnia-Herzegovina position

Spread: Bosnia-Herzegovina (-5.5)

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $498.49
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: $0.5

Curaçao position

Spread: Curaçao (-3.5)

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $499.98
Potential profit: $498.73
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Max Diaz be the Democratic nominee for SC-01?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 40.6%
Current value: $202.99
Potential payout: $499.98
Potential profit: $296.99
Multiplier: 2.46x
User PnL: $201.49

Yes position

Will Antonio Villaraigosa finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Francisco City and County?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $499.98
Potential profit: $499.23
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Shas win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Ends Oct 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $454.43
Potential profit: $453.29
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will Liban Mohamed be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $424.23
Potential profit: $423.59
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.36

Yes position

Will Lincoln Restler be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $336
Potential profit: $335.83
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $331.83
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will André Luís win the Governor of Maranhão election?

Ends Oct 5, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $2.61
Potential payout: $261.35
Potential profit: $258.74
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: $1.83

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.51
Potential payout: $256.47
Potential profit: $255.96
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will STRC market cap hit $16B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 17.1%
Current value: $43.13
Potential payout: $252.97
Potential profit: $209.84
Multiplier: 5.87x
User PnL: $42.05

Yes position

Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 23 be at least 100?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.63
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Dragons win?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $257.16

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $248.99

Yes position

Robinio Vaz: Anytime Goalscorer

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $247.48

Yes position

Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.32

Sinner position

Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $196.47

Udinese Calcio position

Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.31

Over position

RCA Zemamra vs. Raja Club Athletic: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.97

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.48

Yes position

Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.88

Yes position

Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$0 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $115.03

Yes position

Will Perpignan win?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $94.98

Yes position

Corentin Tolisso: Anytime Goalscorer

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.9

Yes position

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $285 on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.36

Yes position

Will Western Force win?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $88.37

Over position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.79

Yes position

Will the U.S. national debt hit $40 trillion in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $84.05

Yes position

Will Apple (AAPL) close at $270-$275 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.04

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C or below on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.33

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.2

Yes position

Will "Love is Blind: The Reunion" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.15

Real Oviedo position

Spread: Real Oviedo (-2.5)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.74

Yes position

Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Pacific Division?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $73.56

Yes position

Will UConn win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $72.67

CarritoSpain position

Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs CarritoSpain - Map 1 Winner

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $72.37

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Craig Gordon: 4+ saves

Yes 37% 25 shares
Paul Izzo: 4+ saves

Yes 40% 100 shares
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $360-$370 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19?

Yes 11.3% 5 shares
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 6% 9 shares
Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on June 19?

Yes 0.2% 55.55 shares
Will Te Pāti Māori win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Yes 0.2% 14.7 shares
Will Puffpaw launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Yes 62% 8.94 shares
Will John Pulskamp win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year?

Yes 3% 16.39 shares
Will John Pulskamp win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year?

Yes 3.1% 8.74 shares
Will John Pulskamp win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year?

Yes 3.1% 14.28 shares
Will John Pulskamp win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year?

Yes 3.1% 14.28 shares
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $160 end of June?

Yes 0.2% 30.3 shares

flexer78

Open positions

Will MUNDO-GB win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?

Spread: Saudi Arabia (-3.5)

Will Belgium win the World Cup?

Will Erin Mendenhall be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?

Will Seattle have between 0.5 and 1 inches of precipitation in June?

Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19?

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on June 19?

Spread: Qatar (-4.5)

Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?

Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 19?

Spread: Bosnia-Herzegovina (-5.5)

Spread: Curaçao (-3.5)

Will Max Diaz be the Democratic nominee for SC-01?

Will Antonio Villaraigosa finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Francisco City and County?

Will Shas win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Liban Mohamed be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?

Will Lincoln Restler be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?

Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?

Will André Luís win the Governor of Maranhão election?

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 22?

Will STRC market cap hit $16B by June 30?

Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 23 be at least 100?

Closed positions

Will Dragons win?

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 20?

Robinio Vaz: Anytime Goalscorer

Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?

Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)

Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)

RCA Zemamra vs. Raja Club Athletic: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 20?

Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 7?

Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at <$0 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17?

Will Perpignan win?

Corentin Tolisso: Anytime Goalscorer

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $285 on March 31?

Will Western Force win?

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Will the U.S. national debt hit $40 trillion in 2025?

Will Apple (AAPL) close at $270-$275 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17?

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C or below on May 19?

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Will "Love is Blind: The Reunion" be the top US Netflix show this week?

Spread: Real Oviedo (-2.5)

Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Pacific Division?

Will UConn win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?

Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs CarritoSpain - Map 1 Winner

Recent trades

Will MUNDO-GB  win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?