Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.92
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $165.75
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Polymarket Trader
bagelbro
0x94271d190812d75a23b2963436fdecce9625c967
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $51.71
- Realized PnL
- $5.6
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $39.06
- Potential payout
- $73
- Potential profit
- $33.95
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$1.49
No position
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.9%
- Current value
- $11.74
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $12.26
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $108K on September 1?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.94
- Potential profit
- $2.94
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Donald Trump say "China" during Crypto Summit on Friday?
Ends Mar 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.41
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Trump pardon Young Thug in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Georgescu banned from Romania election?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
New Pope in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Avalanche position
Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs
Ends Mar 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will The Left make it into the Bundestag as a Fraktion?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the CDU/CSU win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the CDU/CSU win less than 20% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Trump releases Epstein list today?
Ends Feb 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Lightning position
Flyers vs. Lightning
Ends Mar 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
Rockets position
76ers vs. Rockets
Ends Mar 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Pistons position
Pistons vs. Pelicans
Ends Mar 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
St. Josephs position
UAB vs. St. Joseph's
Ends Mar 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Bulls position
Bulls vs. Jazz
Ends Mar 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Knicks position
Heat vs. Knicks
Ends Mar 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Real Madrid position
Copa Del Rey: Real Madrid vs. Real Sociedad (To Advance)
Ends Apr 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Maple Leafs position
Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs
Ends Mar 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Samford position
Samford vs. George Mason
Ends Mar 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?No 55% 53 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.6% 166.67 shares
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?No 55% 10 shares
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?No 59% 10 shares
- Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?No 49.7% 24 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $108K on September 1?Yes 34% 2.94 shares
- New Pope in 2025?Yes 38% 5 shares
- Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No 99.7% 4.9 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?No 99.9% 1.96 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?No 99.9% 22.71 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?Yes 99.9% 27.64 shares
- UAB vs. St. Joseph'sSt. Josephs 68% 2.84 shares