izmel9197

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $14.82
Potential payout: $759.89
Potential profit: $745.07
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$53.4

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $2.03
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $447.98
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$1.13

No position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $55.8
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $344.2
Multiplier: 7.17x
User PnL: -$24.37

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $11
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $211.22
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Implied probability: 4.8%
Current value: $8.81
Potential payout: $185.5
Potential profit: $176.69
Multiplier: 21.05x
User PnL: -$7.88

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $2.75
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $97.24
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$0.72

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $2.95
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $47.05
Multiplier: 16.95x
User PnL: -$9.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $45.42
Potential payout: $45.44
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $35.42

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.85
Potential profit: $42.85
User PnL: -$29.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $37.04
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?

Implied probability: 93.1%
Current value: $34.07
Potential payout: $36.59
Potential profit: $2.52
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $19.06

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.07
Potential profit: $36.07
User PnL: -$29.94

Bosnia and Herzegovina position

Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $28.86
Potential payout: $32.61
Potential profit: $3.75
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $13.86

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $29.4
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $14.4

Yes position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $72 on June 24?

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $10.44
Potential payout: $28.6
Potential profit: $18.16
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$9.56

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $21.37
Potential payout: $21.43
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $6.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.28
Potential profit: $21.28
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $15.52
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $5.31
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $14.91
Potential payout: $18.07
Potential profit: $3.16
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$0.09

Over position

Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $9.92
Potential payout: $15.87
Potential profit: $5.95
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$0.08

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 24?

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $5.82
Potential payout: $13.7
Potential profit: $7.88
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$4.18

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $10.1
Potential payout: $10.3
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET