Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $5.95
- Potential payout
- $476.19
- Potential profit
- $470.24
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$14.05
Polymarket Trader
incrediblemachine
0x9441c737e19f346ce9069f746879432ba81fbe7b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.95
- Realized PnL
- $2.37K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.03
- Potential profit
- $109.03
- User PnL
- -$40.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108.95
- Potential profit
- $108.95
- User PnL
- -$63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $93.44
- Potential profit
- $93.44
- User PnL
- -$62.66
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $91.22
- Potential profit
- $91.22
- User PnL
- -$45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.02
- Potential profit
- $90.02
- User PnL
- -$49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.46
- Potential profit
- $88.46
- User PnL
- -$26.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.17
- Potential profit
- $74.17
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.98
- Potential profit
- $71.98
- User PnL
- -$55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.1
- Potential profit
- $69.1
- User PnL
- -$48
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.64
- Potential profit
- $68.64
- User PnL
- -$34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.17
- Potential profit
- $68.17
- User PnL
- -$52
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.31
- Potential profit
- $65.31
- User PnL
- -$32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.14
- Potential profit
- $65.14
- User PnL
- -$35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.31
- Potential profit
- $60.31
- User PnL
- -$30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.04
- Potential profit
- $58.04
- User PnL
- -$29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.06
- Potential profit
- $53.06
- User PnL
- -$27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52
- Potential profit
- $52
- User PnL
- -$26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.53
- Potential profit
- $50.53
- User PnL
- -$26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.9
- Potential profit
- $49.9
- User PnL
- -$21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.45
- Potential profit
- $48.45
- User PnL
- -$16.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.02
- Potential profit
- $48.02
- User PnL
- -$26.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.25
- Potential profit
- $45.25
- User PnL
- -$28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44
- Potential profit
- $44
- User PnL
- -$22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETDown 78% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7AM ETDown 50% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETDown 64% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETDown 68% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETDown 74% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETDown 74% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETDown 75% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETDown 74% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETDown 74% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETDown 75% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETDown 74% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETDown 77% 5 shares