Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $32.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $467.5
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$17.5
Polymarket Trader
fartter
0x94426040946cfc26d1ff47deb2b4ca13f714b58d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $32.5
- Realized PnL
- -$40.77
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump say "Low-IQ" this week? (January 18)
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.69
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.65
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?Yes 97.9% 9.12 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 10% 500 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes 5% 86.95 shares
- Will Trump say "Low-IQ" this week? (January 18)No 39% 7.69 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 50% 20 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 57.3% 34.88 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes 23% 86.96 shares