fabres04

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $6.17
Potential payout: $411.1
Potential profit: $404.93
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: $1.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 100-101°F on July 17?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $261.37
Potential profit: $260.71
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on July 17?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $251.2
Potential profit: $250.7
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.67
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $221.55
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$1.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be 102°F or higher on July 17?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.5
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $184.5
Potential profit: $184.13
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be 100°F or higher on July 17?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.54
Potential payout: $152.97
Potential profit: $152.43
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $1.6
Potential payout: $127.93
Potential profit: $126.33
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 104-105°F on July 15?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $127.27
Potential profit: $127.21
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $2.6
Potential payout: $123.73
Potential profit: $121.13
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $92.22
Potential profit: $91.34
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 98°F or higher on July 17?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.41
Potential payout: $90.9
Potential profit: $90.49
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.21
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $1.28
Potential payout: $75.23
Potential profit: $73.95
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 17?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.83
Potential payout: $73.33
Potential profit: $71.49
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: $0.95

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $60.33
Potential profit: $59.91
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$2.87

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $1.63
Potential payout: $59.37
Potential profit: $57.74
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $0.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $57.14
Potential profit: $57.11
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on July 17?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $51.8
Potential profit: $50.95
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on July 16?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $50.15
Potential profit: $49.97
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $1.14
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $44.31
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $17.98
Potential profit: $17.7
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 17?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $16.9
Potential profit: $16.79
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $9.59
Potential profit: $9.44
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 16?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: $5.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 2.2%
Multiplier: 46.51x
User PnL: $1.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 3%
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 16?

Implied probability: 14%
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 102-103°F on July 15?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 17?

Implied probability: 6%
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 13%
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 16?

Implied probability: 26%
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 46.5%
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 4.1%
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 3%
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 7%
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 15?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 15?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 18%
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or below on July 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 16%
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 83°F or below on July 17?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 17?

Implied probability: 4.2%
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 11%
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 16?