Polymarket Trader

mountaindewd

0x944e0472b99926f4f712fc97dc0a846a8c5d8c94

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $121.6K
Realized PnL: $103.95K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $50.16K
Potential payout: $50.84K
Potential profit: $686.37
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $12.23K

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $20.36K
Potential payout: $20.52K
Potential profit: $153.88
User PnL: $3.03K

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $2.35K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $17.65K
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $680

No position

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $15.48K
Potential payout: $15.5K
Potential profit: $23.25
User PnL: $3.78K

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $6.04K
Potential payout: $10.89K
Potential profit: $4.85K
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$1.1K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $7.86K
Potential payout: $7.89K
Potential profit: $27.61
User PnL: $2.18K

No position

Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.55K
Potential profit: $6.55K
User PnL: -$3.42K

No position

Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.24K
Potential profit: $6.24K
User PnL: -$2.04K

Yes position

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88K
Potential profit: $5.88K
User PnL: -$3.08K

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $4.85K
Potential payout: $5.44K
Potential profit: $598.84
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $1.62K

Yes position

Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.43K
Potential profit: $5.43K
User PnL: -$2.68K

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $4.49K
Potential payout: $5.07K
Potential profit: $583.54
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $1.07K

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $4.96K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $37.5
User PnL: $912.5

Yes position

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.94K
Potential profit: $4.94K
User PnL: -$197.56

Yes position

Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.89K
Potential profit: $4.89K
User PnL: -$437.55

Under position

England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $4.44K
User PnL: -$2.38K

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $4.07K
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $377.74
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $777.71

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 24.9%
Current value: $984.34
Potential payout: $3.96K
Potential profit: $2.98K
Multiplier: 4.02x
User PnL: -$170.9

Yes position

Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.59K
Potential profit: $3.59K
User PnL: -$293.87

Khamzat Chimaev position

UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.34K
Potential profit: $3.34K
User PnL: -$2.67K

No position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$1.7K

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$1.3K

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$1.77K

Yes position

Will Ricardo Belmont finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.14K
Potential profit: $3.14K
User PnL: -$25

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.21K

No position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.04K

Yes position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.41K

Yes position

Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.9K

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.89K

No position

Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.61K

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $3.78K

Yes position

Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.64K

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.53K

Yes position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.51K

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.51K

No position

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.21K

Yes position

Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.21K

Yes position

Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.12K

No position

Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3K

Yes position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6K

Yes position

Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.43K

Yes position

Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.12K

No position

Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.09K

Yes position

Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08K

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96K

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84K

Yes position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: Ghana (-1.5)

Ghana 19% 732.69 shares
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?

No 15% 2,221.98 shares
Spread: Austria (-1.5)

Jordan 56% 2,222 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 87.6% 10 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 88% 458.19 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 80.5% 1,550.97 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 78.6% 877.58 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 79% 1,000 shares
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?

Yes 18% 301 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 83% 699.59 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 83% 2,779.76 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 68% 3,000 shares