No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $22.32
- Potential payout
- $144
- Potential profit
- $121.68
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $0.72
Polymarket Trader
noetic.atlas
0x9458d70862c9b0edccd98a6c6d710ee7b5723555
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $62
- Realized PnL
- $15.55
- Win rate
- 42.9%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $6.05
- Potential payout
- $52.6
- Potential profit
- $46.55
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $19.98
- Potential payout
- $36
- Potential profit
- $16.02
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $2.7
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $13.65
- Potential payout
- $15.6
- Potential profit
- $1.95
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $39.7
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $3.21
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$1.52
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$5.88
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$9.73
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 86% 7.8 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 86% 7.8 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 10% 52.6 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 28% 40 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 96% 16.9 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 71% 18.98 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes 4% 117.6 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 37% 34.4 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 11.4% 46.1 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 80% 22.9 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 8% 150 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes 9% 117.6 shares