Polymarket Trader

0x9468...74bc

0x946845ecb6f1804ae588057ca5320e5d7c7274bc

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $336.1
Realized PnL: -$5.96
Win rate: 14.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Senators position

Sabres vs. Senators

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $100.28
Potential payout: $100.28
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $66.66

Under position

Kings vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.47
Potential profit: $90.47
User PnL: -$9.12

No position

Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 31.7%
Current value: $25.35
Potential payout: $80.08
Potential profit: $54.73
Multiplier: 3.16x
User PnL: $4.05

Sabres position

Sabres vs. Senators

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.45
Potential profit: $76.45
User PnL: -$14.66

Yes position

Glean IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $8.18
Potential payout: $60.6
Potential profit: $52.42
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$6.29

No position

Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $40.4
Potential payout: $40.4
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $24.44

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.71
Potential profit: $32.71
User PnL: -$9.49

Yes position

Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $6.21
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $24.09
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$20.45

No position

Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $14.7
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $15.6
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$2.44

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $30.3
User PnL: -$21.71

No position

Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $30.3
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $5.75

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.67
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $28.63
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$3.18

No position

Megan Thee Stallion & Klay Thompson split in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $30.3
User PnL: -$15.66

No position

Will Perena launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $30.3
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $10.73

Yes position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$8.4

Warriors position

Spread: Spurs (-12.5)

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.14
Potential profit: $25.14
User PnL: -$8.8

No position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.2
Potential profit: $20.2
User PnL: -$5.76

No position

Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $18.28
Potential payout: $20.2
Potential profit: $1.92
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.32

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit Alaska in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20.2
Potential payout: $20.2
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $7.98

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20.2
Potential payout: $20.2
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $7.78

Ben Shelton position

US Men's Clay Court Championships: Ben Shelton vs Zhizhen Zhang

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20.04
Potential payout: $20.04
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $5.31

No position

Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.02
Potential profit: $20.02
User PnL: -$14.71

Zhizhen Zhang position

US Men's Clay Court Championships: Ben Shelton vs Zhizhen Zhang

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.68
Potential profit: $19.68
User PnL: -$2.76

Yes position

Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas by June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.1
Potential profit: $10.1
User PnL: -$2.63

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Under position

Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.58

No position

Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.05

No position

Will the Republican Party win the TX-32 House seat?

Ends Nov 4, 2026

Implied probability: 25%
Multiplier: 4.00x
User PnL: -$4.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Sabres vs. Senators

Sabres 17% 28.59 shares
Sabres vs. Senators

Sabres 20% 25 shares
Sabres vs. Senators

Sabres 21% 22.86 shares
Sabres vs. Senators

Senators 50% 9.18 shares
Sabres vs. Senators

Senators 30% 14.4 shares
Sabres vs. Senators

Senators 32% 15.53 shares
Sabres vs. Senators

Senators 32.7% 15.21 shares
Sabres vs. Senators

Senators 33% 14.64 shares
Sabres vs. Senators

Senators 32.5% 15.29 shares
Sabres vs. Senators

Senators 31% 16.03 shares
Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?

No 35.1% 9.76 shares
Will the Republican Party win the TX-32 House seat?

No 6% 15.53 shares