Polymarket Trader

oopslostmoney

0x946e338b86a3b52d71b642c00a3ed38595031225

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $429.25
Realized PnL: $2.92K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $6K
User PnL: -$12.99

Yes position

Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $56.32
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$19.28

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $18.21
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$16.5

No position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.51
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $33.72
Potential payout: $793.45
Potential profit: $759.73
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$30.28

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 12.4%
Current value: $86.45
Potential payout: $699.96
Potential profit: $613.52
Multiplier: 8.10x
User PnL: -$15.38

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 38.8%
Current value: $193.65
Potential payout: $499.74
Potential profit: $306.09
Multiplier: 2.58x
User PnL: $116.19

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $29
Potential payout: $200.01
Potential profit: $171
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 2 Morocco?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $194.12
Potential profit: $194.12
User PnL: -$33

Yes position

Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $11.4
Potential payout: $160.75
Potential profit: $149.35
Multiplier: 14.10x
User PnL: -$18.6

Yes position

Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Australia?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.67
Potential profit: $101.67
User PnL: -$15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $353.22

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $310.34

Yes position

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $256.64

Yes position

Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.16

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $192.54

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $166.97

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.7

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 73.4%
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $159.62

Yes position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.27

Yes position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $127.47

Yes position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $101.1

No position

England leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.16

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.99

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $69.19

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.64

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.03

Yes position

Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.26

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.77

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.14

Yes position

Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.5

No position

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $38.93

No position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.16

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.9

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.97

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 1.7% 500.48 shares
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?

Yes 7.5% 103.24 shares
Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 2 Morocco?

Yes 17% 194.12 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 58% 46.55 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Yes 10% 200.1 shares
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Australia?

Yes 5% 77.78 shares
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Australia?

Yes 9% 77.78 shares
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Australia?

Yes 14% 41.66 shares
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

Yes 18.7% 160.75 shares
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Australia?

Yes 12% 41.67 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 9% 400 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 10% 200 shares