No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $237.93
- Potential payout
- $265.85
- Potential profit
- $27.91
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $37.93
Polymarket Trader
xiaogaoxing
0x947316454044726ee162454da20fa803e14e5728
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $690.68
- Realized PnL
- $852.87
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $84.94
- Potential payout
- $120.48
- Potential profit
- $35.54
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$15.06
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $110.12
- Potential payout
- $119.05
- Potential profit
- $8.93
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $10.12
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $106.06
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $5.06
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $6.06
No position
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $103.12
- Potential payout
- $107.03
- Potential profit
- $3.91
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.12
N
No position
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 200m?
Ends Aug 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $37.2
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $2.8
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $11.31
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $1.19
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.35
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.26
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.06
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.36
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.55
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.7
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.26
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.99
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.77
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.11
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.85
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.4
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.5
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.01
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.88
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.09
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.84
Yes position
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.57
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.36
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.33
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.64
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.72
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.22
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No 99.5% 412.06 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No 80% 125 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?No 90% 111.11 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No 98.5% 304.49 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No 98.3% 101.73 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No 99.3% 1,814.41 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?No 96.8% 413.22 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?No 99.3% 201.33 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?No 99.6% 3,432.3 shares
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 200m?No 90% 40 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 71% 27.77 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No 98.7% 638.3 shares