Polymarket Trader

50-Pence

0x9478e0b0db650ac66ca3a2c9f6ed68ebca4863f5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $35.15K
Realized PnL: $108.47K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.7K
Potential profit: $50.7K
User PnL: -$864.09

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.1%
Current value: $17.65K
Potential payout: $50.36K
Potential profit: $32.71K
Multiplier: 2.85x
User PnL: $16.75K

Yes position

Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$833.3

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$833.3

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $175
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $49.82K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$658.3

Yes position

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$833.3

Yes position

Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$833.3

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.3%
Current value: $4.12K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $45.87K
Multiplier: 12.12x
User PnL: $3.29K

Yes position

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$833.3

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$833.3

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.1%
Current value: $9.02K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $40.97K
Multiplier: 5.54x
User PnL: $8.19K

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$833.3

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$833.3

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $3.22K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $46.77K
Multiplier: 15.50x
User PnL: $2.39K

Yes position

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$833.3

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $75
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $49.92K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$758.3

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $775
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $49.22K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$58.3

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$833.3

Yes position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$833.3

Yes position

Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$833.3

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$833.3

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $50K
User PnL: -$833.3

Yes position

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $75
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $49.92K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$758.3

Yes position

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $25
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $49.97K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$808.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.46K

Yes position

Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.9K

Yes position

Will Al-Hilal win the FIFA Club World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.27K

No position

Will Man City win on 2024-11-09?

Ends Nov 9, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.25K

No position

Will Arsenal win on 2024-11-02?

Ends Nov 2, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.97K

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.16K

Wizards position

Bulls vs. Wizards

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.08K

Yes position

Will Club Brugge beat Aston Villa?

Ends Nov 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.68K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.36K

Yes position

Will Sporting CP beat Manchester City?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.24K

No position

Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.05K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85K

Yes position

Will AC Milan beat Real Madrid?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.29K

No position

Kamala positive favorability by Friday?

Ends Sep 20, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.19K

Newcastle position

Carabao Cup: Newcastle vs. Chelsea

Ends Oct 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.1K

No position

Will Spurs win on 2024-11-10?

Ends Nov 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88K

Yes position

Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.84K

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.83K

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.82K

No position

Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.5K

Yes position

Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5K

No position

2024 October hottest on record?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Warriors vs. Kings

Kings 55% 4,932.5 shares
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks

Kansas Jayhawks 36% 995.97 shares
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks

Kansas Jayhawks 38% 995.88 shares
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils

Duke Blue Devils 92% 2,996.14 shares
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans

Louisville Cardinals 12% 1,996.3 shares
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans

Louisville Cardinals 12% 1,996.3 shares
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 91% 81.39 shares
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 97.6% 2,409.77 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 91.5% 2,850 shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 91.3% 3,000 shares
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

No 99.5% 38.82 shares
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

No 99.8% 5,183.36 shares