Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $1.92K
- User PnL
- -$41.67
Polymarket Trader
nikola123
0x947cb439594c7a1bcb57750ebe8fc4aac8f59a5c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $58.25
- Realized PnL
- $355.53
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 46°C or higher on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 45°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $944.63
- Potential profit
- $944.63
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $712.85
- Potential profit
- $712.85
- User PnL
- -$1.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.33
- Potential payout
- $663.41
- Potential profit
- $663.08
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.27
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $6.26
- Potential payout
- $368.48
- Potential profit
- $362.22
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- -$5.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 44°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $174.84
- Potential profit
- $174.84
- User PnL
- -$0.63
Yes position
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $161.87
- Potential profit
- $161.87
- User PnL
- -$4.02
Yes position
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Y
Yes position
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $38.42
- Potential payout
- $88.33
- Potential profit
- $49.91
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $9.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $6.02
- Potential payout
- $80.25
- Potential profit
- $74.23
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.78
Yes position
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $79.99
- Potential profit
- $79.99
- User PnL
- -$4.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $3.13
- Potential payout
- $79.27
- Potential profit
- $76.14
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$2.76
Yes position
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Y
Yes position
Will "Trump" be said 10+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will Lewis Hamilton win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$0.94
No position
Will Trump say "Social Security" at The Villages on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.04
- Potential profit
- $39.04
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.12
- Potential profit
- $37.12
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.39
- Potential profit
- $34.39
- User PnL
- -$10.22
No position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $34
- User PnL
- -$1.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.8%
- Current value
- $4.06
- Potential payout
- $31.84
- Potential profit
- $27.78
- Multiplier
- 7.84x
- User PnL
- -$2.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $31.75
- Potential profit
- $31.73
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.76
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45.86
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $25.97
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.73
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
Yes position
Will Trump say "DoorDash" or "McDonald's" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.38
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $8.9
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $8.64
Yes position
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.94
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.59
Yes position
Will "Anthropic" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.31
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.23
Yes position
Will Trump or Melania say "School" at the Military Mothers event?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during tech signing event on Wednesday?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.99
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Multiplier
- 45.45x
- User PnL
- $6.99
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.6
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 23°C on June 26?Yes 21% 16.66 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 25?Yes 0.1% 120.85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 25?Yes 53.9% 34.27 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 25?Yes 55% 12.83 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 25?Yes 0.1% 755.59 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 25?Yes 3.2% 108.81 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 25?Yes 10% 16.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 25?Yes 6.5% 75.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 25?Yes 51% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 25?Yes 47% 14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 25?Yes 9.6% 16.74 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 25?Yes 33.2% 5 shares