No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $297.74
- Potential profit
- $297.74
- User PnL
- -$140
Polymarket Trader
akerman1623
0x94810953ef4b415a9694338b80aff218d1a8209a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $117.86
- Realized PnL
- $216.16
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $35.3
- Potential payout
- $53.89
- Potential profit
- $18.59
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$4.7
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $47.57
- Potential payout
- $48.22
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $7.57
No position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $14.11
- Potential payout
- $16.13
- Potential profit
- $2.02
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $4.11
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $4.93
- Potential payout
- $14.71
- Potential profit
- $9.78
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $5.47
- Potential payout
- $10.42
- Potential profit
- $4.95
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $6.25
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $3.75
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $4.23
- Potential payout
- $5.19
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.64
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.34
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.83
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.11
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.38
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.39
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.97
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $5.09
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.58
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.39
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.44
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.18
Yes position
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 28% 14.81 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 1.1% 5.55 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 34% 14.71 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 18% 5.56 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No 48% 10.42 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 27% 14.81 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 77% 5.19 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 50% 10 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 97% 23.89 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 82% 7.31 shares
- Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 90% 33.33 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 41% 7.32 shares