Polymarket Trader

Neuron

0x948cc2f1138a516c0f4fd03eb30015c331fd42ee

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $138.08
Realized PnL: $25.8K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $130.94
Potential payout: $2.24K
Potential profit: $2.11K
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $16.79

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $2.03K
User PnL: -$273.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $7.14
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.29K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$99.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.1K
User PnL: -$285.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $996.63
Potential profit: $996.63
User PnL: -$210.21

Yes position

Penguin listed on Binance by March 31?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $860.08
Potential profit: $860.08
User PnL: -$340.88

Aurora position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $824.44
Potential profit: $824.44
User PnL: -$345.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $697.27
Potential profit: $697.27
User PnL: -$163.9

Aurora position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $512.2
Potential profit: $512.2
User PnL: -$256.1

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $439.39
Potential profit: $439.39
User PnL: -$135.18

Aurora position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 3 Winner

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $424.61
Potential profit: $424.61
User PnL: -$147.06

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $282.05
Potential profit: $282.05
User PnL: -$110

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.73K

Yes position

Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6K

No position

Lighter Airdrop on December 29?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.04K

Yes position

Pump.fun announces public raise sold out in the first hour?

Ends Jul 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66K

No position

Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6K

No position

Israel military response against Iran by Friday?

Ends Oct 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33K

Yes position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22K

Yes position

Eigenlayer airdrop by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21K

Yes position

Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $908.9

Yes position

Will threadguy interview Trump before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $904.48

Yes position

Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $820.87

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $479.23

Yes position

Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $416.95

No position

Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $363.26

Yes position

Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $328.5

No position

Israel military response against Iran by Friday?

Ends Oct 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $290

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $283.99

Yes position

Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $277

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252.04

No position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240

No position

Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $219.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $213.48

Yes position

Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.39

No position

Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.85

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.1% 2,238.24 shares
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?

Yes 30% 327.27 shares
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?

Yes 33% 112.12 shares
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?

Yes 39% 282.05 shares
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 3 Winner

Aurora 33% 29.69 shares
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 3 Winner

Aurora 34.8% 394.91 shares
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

Aurora 31% 5.61 shares
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner

Aurora 42% 818.83 shares
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

Aurora 50% 512.2 shares
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?

Yes 23% 1,199.99 shares
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?

Yes 98.7% 651.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Up 20.2% 504.16 shares