Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $126.21
- Potential payout
- $221.47
- Potential profit
- $95.25
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $46.21
Polymarket Trader
qwe.ernesto
0x949362eb6711b2a0eeaf15700c669d3a288e4d3f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $126.21
- Realized PnL
- $71.61
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.05
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.27
Yes position
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.06
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.7
Yes position
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.68
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.43
Yes position
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.33
Yes position
Will 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.16
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.14
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 5, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
Yes position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 7-13?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 5, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 36.1% 221.47 shares
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes 92% 80.43 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?Yes 88% 77.27 shares
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic 82% 85.56 shares
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic 83.8% 85.56 shares
- Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 83.3% 72.05 shares
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 40% 154.17 shares
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 52% 154.17 shares
- Will 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?Yes 78.5% 102.15 shares
- Will 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?Yes 74.4% 102.16 shares
- Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?Yes 99.1% 76.74 shares
- Will there be exactly 2 major space weather events this week?Yes 99.4% 76.75 shares