Yes position
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $736.01
- Potential profit
- $734.9
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$21.9
Polymarket Trader
0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F
0x9495d622ab74a601ad1668d3dd4f7a2e68c3468f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.13K
- Realized PnL
- $4.96K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $31.61
- Potential payout
- $301
- Potential profit
- $269.4
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $1.5
N
No position
Will Alex Bores win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 5% or more?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $239.74
- Potential payout
- $294.19
- Potential profit
- $54.45
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$30.92
No position
Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?
Ends Dec 31, 2028- Implied probability
- 83.3%
- Current value
- $208.13
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $41.88
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$6.13
No position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $59.17
- Potential payout
- $193.99
- Potential profit
- $134.82
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$4.85
Y
Yes position
Will Panama be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $10.62
- Potential payout
- $193
- Potential profit
- $182.39
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
N
No position
Will Haiti finish last in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $165
- Potential profit
- $164.92
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.72
No position
Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $75.4
- Potential payout
- $147.85
- Potential profit
- $72.45
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- -$26.61
Y
Yes position
Will 7+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $3.63
- Potential payout
- $145
- Potential profit
- $141.38
- Multiplier
- 40.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.63
Y
Yes position
Tread FDV above $80M one day after launch
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $49.78
- Potential payout
- $131
- Potential profit
- $81.22
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$2.62
Yes position
Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $97.06
- Potential payout
- $126.87
- Potential profit
- $29.81
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $27.83
- Potential payout
- $109.13
- Potential profit
- $81.3
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
N
No position
Will USA be the highest-scoring team in Group D during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $6
- Potential payout
- $109
- Potential profit
- $103.01
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$12.54
No position
Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $93.32
- Potential payout
- $106.65
- Potential profit
- $13.33
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
N
No position
Will Canada finish second in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $60.87
- Potential payout
- $104.94
- Potential profit
- $44.07
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will Aaron Judge lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?
Ends Sep 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.76
- Potential payout
- $94.84
- Potential profit
- $94.08
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.98
No position
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $29.61
- Potential payout
- $89.74
- Potential profit
- $60.13
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- -$5.38
Yes position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $23.38
- Potential payout
- $85
- Potential profit
- $61.63
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$2.98
No position
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $33.15
- Potential payout
- $78
- Potential profit
- $44.85
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$1.95
Yes position
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $10.37
- Potential payout
- $76.83
- Potential profit
- $66.46
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.15
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-06 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $6.57
- Potential payout
- $73
- Potential profit
- $66.43
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Yes position
Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $3.63
- Potential payout
- $72.67
- Potential profit
- $69.04
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.18
No position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.4%
- Current value
- $50.4
- Potential payout
- $68.71
- Potential profit
- $18.31
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$2.85
N
No position
Will the Republican Party win the FL-08 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $7.25
- Potential payout
- $63
- Potential profit
- $55.76
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$2.84
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.79K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $612.08
Yes position
Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $392.92
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $274.02
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $211.76
Yes position
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $199.32
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $172.88
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.81
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $148
Yes position
Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?
Ends Feb 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $136.18
Yes position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $108.08
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $104.51
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $104.03
Yes position
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.1%
- Multiplier
- 7.09x
- User PnL
- $89.76
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.06
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.17
Yes position
Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.63
Yes position
Will the Chiefs win the AFC Championship?
Ends Jan 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.67
Yes position
Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40.9
Yes position
Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.2
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37
Yes position
Will IK Start win on 2026-05-25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.8
Yes position
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.55
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 78% 4.35 shares
- Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title?No 62% 3.2 shares
- Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 66% 100 shares
- Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 2.1% 119.92 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?No 15% 26.39 shares
- Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 86% 20 shares
- Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 86% 20 shares
- Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes 77% 29.02 shares
- Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 43% 298 shares
- Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No 88% 10 shares
- Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No 75% 134.38 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 24% 133.32 shares