Polymarket Trader

LaBascule

0x949b19b99ca36f8f8dc52e4b45f1f0875219b285

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.06K
Realized PnL: $632.93
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.06K
Potential payout: $12.5K
Potential profit: $11.44K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $212.59

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205

Yes position

Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.67

Yes position

Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.76

Yes position

Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.59

Yes position

Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.54

Yes position

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $24

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $18.11

Yes position

Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 3.1%
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $16.24

Yes position

Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Paris-Roubaix Hauts-de-France?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 18.5%
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $15.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.23

Yes position

Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.93

Yes position

Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.79

Yes position

Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $6.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.38

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.45

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 8% 2,841.62 shares
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Yes 7% 2.91 shares
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Yes 7% 13.75 shares
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Yes 59% 500 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Down 29% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Down 16% 31.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Down 26% 19.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Down 29% 17.24 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Down 45% 11.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

Down 37% 13.51 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Up 31% 16.13 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Down 39% 12.82 shares