Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Current value
- $8.42
- Potential payout
- $42
- Potential profit
- $33.58
- Multiplier
- 4.99x
- User PnL
- $0.64
Polymarket Trader
Alibaba991
0x94aff3b440a823d124b2b2a207093db4dc06d8c6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $53.58
- Realized PnL
- $9.32
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.4%
- Current value
- $10.41
- Potential payout
- $22.46
- Potential profit
- $12.05
- Multiplier
- 2.16x
- User PnL
- -$1.59
Y
Yes position
Mexico to score first vs. England?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $22.22
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.7%
- Current value
- $4.62
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $13.38
- Multiplier
- 3.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $4.34
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $12.67
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $11.34
- Potential payout
- $14.45
- Potential profit
- $3.11
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.99
- Potential profit
- $13.99
- User PnL
- -$2.66
Y
Yes position
Australia to score first vs. Egypt?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.16
- Potential profit
- $13.16
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.8%
- Current value
- $2.44
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $10.56
- Multiplier
- 5.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $2.34
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $10.66
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.9%
- Current value
- $2.51
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $8.49
- Multiplier
- 4.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $9.25
- Multiplier
- 6.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $2.65
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.35
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.4%
- Current value
- $2.75
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $4.25
- Multiplier
- 2.54x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.38
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.18
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- $1.06
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $0.93
Yes position
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $0.84
Tomas Etcheverry position
Barcelona Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Y
Yes position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.37
Hamad Medjedovic position
Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovic
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Nuno Borges position
Barcelona Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Down position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Y
Yes position
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
Ends Jul 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Yes position
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.36
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 10.2%
- Multiplier
- 9.85x
- User PnL
- -$3.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 9?Down 16% 22.5 shares
- Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Yes 41% 5 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes 27% 15 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes 36% 8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 8?Yes 1% 1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 8?Yes 1% 25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 8?Yes 2.1% 15.1 shares
- Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?Yes 11.6% 17 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 8?Up 26% 2.52 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 16.8% 17 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes 24.1% 15 shares
- Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 45% 7.5 shares