Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.48K
- Potential profit
- $5.48K
- User PnL
- -$10.97
Polymarket Trader
Official-Market-Maker
0x94cff0a688ca7b2e5b2602343c49bcd812123db3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $203.67K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Guangdong Southern Tigers position
Beijing Ducks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigers
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.62K
- Potential profit
- $2.62K
- User PnL
- -$737.46
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.33K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.75K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.2K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.15K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.11K
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.27K
No position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.82K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.09K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.61K
No position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.13K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.83K
No position
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64K
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45K
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2K
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93K
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69K
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
Thunder position
Lakers vs. Thunder
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $895.21
No position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $623.86
Yes position
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $524.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 99.4% 3,411.12 shares
- Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 1.6% 3,586.52 shares
- Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 1.4% 4,312.9 shares
- Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 1.4% 14,597.34 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 1.3% 7,431 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No 98.7% 564.01 shares
- Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?No 98.6% 853.23 shares
- Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?No 98.6% 2,199 shares
- Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?No 25.5% 853.23 shares
- Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?No 26.2% 2,199 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No 26% 564.01 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 98% 45,221.38 shares