Polymarket Trader

mightymike

0x94d75c49fdf6a51319c990c524d3d80646fdf795

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $591.75
Realized PnL: $2.12K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $54.17
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $779.17
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $4.17

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $714.29
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $95.37
Potential payout: $617.28
Potential profit: $521.91
Multiplier: 6.47x
User PnL: -$4.63

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $108.56
Potential payout: $534.76
Potential profit: $426.2
Multiplier: 4.93x
User PnL: $8.56

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $230.85
Potential payout: $266.88
Potential profit: $36.03
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $30.85

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $102.81
Potential payout: $112.36
Potential profit: $9.55
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $2.81

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.67
Potential profit: $102.67
User PnL: -$32

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Iran strike Oman in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $408.67

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.83

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.62

Yes position

Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.01

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.62

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.08

Yes position

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.04

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.6

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.85

Yes position

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.67

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.85

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.38

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.61

No position

US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.11

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.31

Yes position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 29, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.95

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.79

No position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.67

Yes position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.56

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.52

No position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.07

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 6% 833.33 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 51% 196.08 shares
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Yes 89% 112.36 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Yes 32% 31.25 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 11.2% 619.61 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 2.4% 333.34 shares
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Yes 93% 215.11 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 16.1% 619.62 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 82% 121.95 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Yes 12% 100 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 30% 333.33 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 27% 294.11 shares