MPCap20

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $2.21K
Potential payout: $2.33K
Potential profit: $128.35
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $278.86

No position

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $1.31K
Potential payout: $1.59K
Potential profit: $277.97
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $42.43

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $757.63
Potential payout: $856.08
Potential profit: $98.45
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $60.25

No position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $708.49
Potential payout: $814.36
Potential profit: $105.87
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $76.75

No position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92.7%
Current value: $741.15
Potential payout: $799.94
Potential profit: $58.8
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $5.59

No position

Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $661.96
Potential payout: $747.98
Potential profit: $86.02
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $42.41

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $542.08
Potential payout: $545.08
Potential profit: $3
User PnL: $38.95

No position

Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $270.4
Potential payout: $439.67
Potential profit: $169.27
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $20.45

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $52 on the final trading day of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $357.57
Potential payout: $362.1
Potential profit: $4.53
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $29.6

No position

Will Solana reach $280 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $311.85
Potential payout: $330
Potential profit: $18.15
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $8.48

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $258.23
Potential payout: $324.82
Potential profit: $66.59
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $25.33

No position

Will EUR/USD hit 1.05 (Low) in 2026?

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $293.91
Potential payout: $314.51
Potential profit: $20.6
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $4.13

No position

Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $274.35
Potential payout: $310
Potential profit: $35.65
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $12.05

No position

Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $263.88
Potential payout: $276.32
Potential profit: $12.43
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $7.37

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Implied probability: 92.8%
Current value: $236.51
Potential payout: $255
Potential profit: $18.49
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $4.42

No position

Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $229.55
Potential payout: $249.51
Potential profit: $19.96
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $3.81

No position

Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 94.1%
Current value: $199.72
Potential payout: $212.36
Potential profit: $12.64
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $8.79

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $187.58
Potential payout: $205
Potential profit: $17.43
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $6.53

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $161.21
Potential payout: $200.26
Potential profit: $39.05
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$8.46

No position

Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $181.51
Potential payout: $193.2
Potential profit: $11.69
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $5.4

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $182.31
Potential payout: $190
Potential profit: $7.69
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $4.84

No position

Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $147.88
Potential payout: $179.25
Potential profit: $31.37
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $3.08

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $165.3
Potential payout: $166.55
Potential profit: $1.25
User PnL: $16.49

No position

Will Carlos Moedas be elected Mayor of Lisbon?

Ends Oct 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.26
Potential profit: $166.26
User PnL: -$57.19

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $420.56

No position

Will Solana reach $310 before 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.8

No position

Will Solana reach $400 before 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.32

No position

Meteora FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.55

No position

Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.63

No position

Solana all time high before 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.71

Yes position

Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.5% and 0.8%?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.6

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.89

No position

Will Solana reach $500 before 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.35

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.16

No position

Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.82

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.39

No position

Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 5% on any day in Q1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.15

No position

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Portugal election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.72

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,000 (LOW) in March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.42

No position

Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 2.5%?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.03

No position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $215 before 2026??

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.85

No position

Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.51

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.02

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.29

No position

Will Opendoor dip to $1 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.86

No position

Will Amazon dip to $132 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.81

No position

Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 0.5%?