Polymarket Trader

inno

0x94d854eac206d57e7e349262b79cbd573eab37e6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.53K
Realized PnL: $4.86K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Tabi FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $372.78
Potential payout: $611.11
Potential profit: $238.33
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $322.32

Yes position

Will Federico Valverde be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.77
Potential payout: $516.67
Potential profit: $515.89
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2.32

Yes position

Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $472.49
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $27.5
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $62.49

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $257.02
Potential payout: $467.32
Potential profit: $210.29
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: $77.02

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $181.62
Potential payout: $442.98
Potential profit: $261.36
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: -$15.64

No position

Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $411.73
Potential payout: $437.08
Potential profit: $25.35
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$3.27

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $248.6
Potential payout: $428.62
Potential profit: $180.02
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $5.2

Yes position

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $304.04
Potential payout: $408.1
Potential profit: $104.07
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $32.69

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $306
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $94
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $72

Yes position

Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $147.84
Potential payout: $389.04
Potential profit: $241.21
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: -$74.72

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $377.03
Potential profit: $377.03
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $311.57
Potential payout: $333.23
Potential profit: $21.66
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $11.57

Yes position

Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $20.06
Potential payout: $267.5
Potential profit: $247.44
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $0.06

Anthropic position

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $255.83
Potential payout: $264.29
Potential profit: $8.46
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $33.83

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $245.63
Potential payout: $252.71
Potential profit: $7.08
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $45.63

No position

Tabi FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $191.5
Potential payout: $243.95
Potential profit: $52.45
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $61.5

No position

Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $14B by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $127.4
Potential payout: $240.37
Potential profit: $112.97
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: $40.27

No position

Tabi FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 66%
Current value: $158.29
Potential payout: $239.84
Potential profit: $81.54
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: -$11.83

Yes position

Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $102.15
Potential payout: $229.55
Potential profit: $127.4
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $77.15

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $220.86
Potential profit: $220.86
User PnL: -$5.5

No position

Over $4M committed to the ALIGN public sale?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $205.61
Potential payout: $209.7
Potential profit: $4.09
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $12.61

Yes position

Will Ruben Amorim be the next manager of SSC Napoli?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $207.69
Potential profit: $207.38
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.69

No position

Over $10M committed to the ALIGN public sale?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $201.07
Potential payout: $203.82
Potential profit: $2.75
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.07

No position

Will Massimiliano Allegri be the next manager of SSC Napoli?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $8.5
Potential payout: $191
Potential profit: $182.5
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: $6.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $714.51

Under position

Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $510

No position

Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $485.44

No position

Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $367.97

No position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $364.72

No position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.31

Yes position

Will Massimiliano Allegri be the next manager of SSC Napoli?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $199.54

Yes position

Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $42.5B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.79

Yes position

Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.33

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.35

Yes position

Will Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.98

No position

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.08

No position

Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.45

Yes position

Will Brazil record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.97

No position

Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.57

Yes position

Will Stranger Things: Season 5 be #1 for 2 straight weeks?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.03

No position

Will Almanak FDV above $80M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.05

No position

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 15?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.84

Under position

Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 151.5

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

No position

Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.5

Colts position

Colts vs. Titans

Ends Sep 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.73

No position

Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

Dortmund position

Will Borussia Dortmund or Lille advance in the UCL Round of 16?

Ends Mar 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.69

No position

Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.99

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Son Heungmin: 1+ goals

Yes 30% 33.33 shares
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Croatia?

Yes 12% 125 shares
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Yes 39% 51.28 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

No 61% 81.93 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 57.8% 95.23 shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Yes 56% 19.64 shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Yes 55% 13.45 shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Yes 56.4% 62.06 shares
Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2027?

Yes 90% 333.23 shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Yes 54.5% 91.79 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

No 61% 81.93 shares
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 6.5 Corners

Over 53% 75.47 shares