toge

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $387.05K
Potential profit: $387.05K
User PnL: -$1.16K

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 14.8%
Current value: $2.22K
Potential payout: $15.08K
Potential profit: $12.86K
Multiplier: 6.78x
User PnL: $625.82

Yes position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 32m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.16K
Potential profit: $12.16K
User PnL: -$2.25K

Yes position

Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $152.22
Potential payout: $8.95K
Potential profit: $8.8K
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: -$1.31K

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 18.4%
Current value: $1.62K
Potential payout: $8.84K
Potential profit: $7.22K
Multiplier: 5.45x
User PnL: $119.34

Yes position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 32m and 35m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.58K
Potential profit: $8.58K
User PnL: -$237

No position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $2.4K
User PnL: -$2.12K

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 33.1%
Current value: $488.87
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $990.3
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $116.45

Yes position

Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$48

Yes position

Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.97
Potential profit: $999.97
User PnL: -$15.99

Yes position

Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $909.99
Potential profit: $909.99
User PnL: -$359.48

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $21.19
Potential payout: $901.79
Potential profit: $880.59
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $485.72
Potential profit: $485.72
User PnL: -$21.57

No position

Aligned FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $178.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $121.5
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$67.5

Yes position

Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026?

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $34.73
Potential payout: $131.07
Potential profit: $96.34
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$54.13

Yes position

Yo FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $67.64
Potential payout: $120.78
Potential profit: $53.14
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: -$8.45

Yes position

Will Harry Kane record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $3.3
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $116.7
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: -$2.7

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.61
Potential profit: $78.61
User PnL: -$45.59

No position

Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $47.01
Potential payout: $48.41
Potential profit: $1.4
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $8.15

Yes position

Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $26.03
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $8.45
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $1.55

No position

MagicBlock FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $26.1
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $3.9
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $4.4

Yes position

Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Implied probability: 10.9%
Current value: $3.18
Potential payout: $29.15
Potential profit: $25.97
Multiplier: 9.17x
User PnL: $1.72

Yes position

Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 88.7%
Current value: $21.09
Potential payout: $23.78
Potential profit: $2.69
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.53
Potential profit: $11.53
User PnL: -$2.31

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.27K

No position

Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.66K

Yes position

Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.48K

No position

Over $30M committed to the Gensyn public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6K

No position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36K

Yes position

Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

No position

Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $904.81

Yes position

Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $853.93

Yes position

Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $810.77

KT Rolster position

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $799.32

No position

Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $742.37

Yes position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $737.6

Yes position

Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $681.46

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $594.16

Yes position

Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $548.79

No position

Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $532.37

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $518.08

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $514.63

Yes position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $513.38

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $511.85

No position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $495.31

No position

EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?