Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $26.01
- Potential payout
- $28.74
- Potential profit
- $2.73
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.01
Polymarket Trader
Lightvale
0x94fc46556037bc45d5df07ce9383e21b7c47b2ce
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $26.01
- Realized PnL
- $5.18
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $14
- User PnL
- -$3.64
Yes position
Will Aptiv (APTV) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.45
- Potential profit
- $6.45
- User PnL
- -$6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.87
Yes position
Will Walt Disney Co (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 87% 28.74 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 85.6% 26.87 shares
- Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No 91% 26.37 shares
- Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No 91% 26.37 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No 97.9% 22.49 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No 97.8% 22.49 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No 96.8% 24.1 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No 95.4% 24.11 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 93.5% 23.88 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.3% 23.88 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96% 25.77 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97% 25.77 shares