Polymarket Trader

0x9506...c548

0x950626c3d8064f2a5770f09dc267d8c5a3f5c548

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $11.15
Realized PnL: $225.46
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $3.33
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $2.22K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.11

Yes position

Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$2.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$2.22

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $796.75
Potential profit: $796.75
User PnL: -$18.28

No position

o1 FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555
Potential profit: $555
User PnL: -$1.11

Yes position

Will Solana dip to $30 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $467.17
Potential profit: $466.94
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.01

Yes position

Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $379.5
Potential profit: $379.5
User PnL: -$4.13

Yes position

Will XRP reach $1.60 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $374.69
Potential profit: $374.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$11.8

Yes position

Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $357.21
Potential profit: $357.21
User PnL: -$23.77

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $317.14
Potential profit: $317.14
User PnL: -$2.22

Yes position

Will Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $301.5
Potential profit: $301.5
User PnL: -$11.98

Yes position

Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $268.87
Potential profit: $268.74
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.45

Yes position

Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.37
Potential payout: $248.81
Potential profit: $247.45
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $246.67
Potential profit: $246.54
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $237.5
Potential profit: $237.5
User PnL: -$3.09

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $2.07
Potential payout: $218.23
Potential profit: $216.16
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$6.92

No position

Arcium FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $209.37
Potential profit: $209.37
User PnL: -$4.03

Yes position

Jimmy Lai released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $203.73
Potential profit: $203.63
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.89

Yes position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.47
Potential payout: $189
Potential profit: $188.53
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.77

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $186.09
Potential profit: $185.72
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$1.17

Yes position

Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.3
Potential profit: $156.3
User PnL: -$14.49

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.45

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.22

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.97

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.29

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.39

Yes position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $8.58

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.28

Yes position

Will Pakistan sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.95

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.51

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.49

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16

Yes position

Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Multiplier: 46.51x
User PnL: $3.1

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.84

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.38

Yes position

Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Multiplier: 39.22x
User PnL: $2.36

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

Yes 45% 2.87 shares
Will Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

Yes 8.7% 10.61 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 29?

Yes 1.6% 28.23 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 29?

Yes 5.4% 28.24 shares
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?

Yes 4.3% 40.4 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?

No 30% 3.83 shares
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in June?

Yes 43% 2.37 shares
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Yes 0.9% 116.14 shares
Will USA win the World Cup?

Yes 3.3% 46.44 shares
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?

Yes 3% 52.18 shares
Will Tynan Lawrence be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 NHL Draft?

Yes 4% 26.25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 26?

Yes 84% 1.46 shares