Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $227.5K
- Potential payout
- $227.85K
- Potential profit
- $341.77
- User PnL
- $4.84K
Polymarket Trader
95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04
0x95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.48M
- Realized PnL
- $83.22K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $122.83K
- Potential payout
- $122.9K
- Potential profit
- $61.45
- User PnL
- $1.78K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $106.34K
- Potential payout
- $106.39K
- Potential profit
- $53.2
- User PnL
- $1.1K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $99.75K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- $200
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $89.34K
- Potential payout
- $94.89K
- Potential profit
- $5.55K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $4.35K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $90.57K
- Potential payout
- $90.88K
- Potential profit
- $318.09
- User PnL
- $273.74
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $89.03K
- Potential payout
- $89.07K
- Potential profit
- $44.54
- User PnL
- $507.17
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $79.02K
- Potential payout
- $79.06K
- Potential profit
- $39.53
- User PnL
- $1.68K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $64.97K
- Potential payout
- $65K
- Potential profit
- $32.5
- User PnL
- $562.57
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $59.67K
- Potential payout
- $60K
- Potential profit
- $330
- User PnL
- $193.38
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $55.5K
- Potential payout
- $60K
- Potential profit
- $4.5K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $693.24
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $52.45K
- Potential payout
- $52.47K
- Potential profit
- $26.24
- User PnL
- $176.47
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $49.87K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $45.53K
- Potential payout
- $45.92K
- Potential profit
- $390.32
- User PnL
- $74.16
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $42.09K
- Potential payout
- $42.5K
- Potential profit
- $403.73
- User PnL
- $432.8
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $39.74K
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $260
- User PnL
- $103.12
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $26.01K
- Potential payout
- $28.13K
- Potential profit
- $2.12K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.2K
No position
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $25.36K
- Potential payout
- $25.48K
- Potential profit
- $114.65
- User PnL
- $316.85
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $19.54K
- Potential payout
- $23.4K
- Potential profit
- $3.86K
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$321.56
No position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $22.19K
- Potential payout
- $22.7K
- Potential profit
- $510.84
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$123.74
No position
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $20.38K
- Potential payout
- $21.34K
- Potential profit
- $960.19
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.18K
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $16.56K
- Potential payout
- $20.19K
- Potential profit
- $3.63K
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $2.96K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $19.92K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- $60
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $19.88K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- $60
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.52K
Yes position
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.69K
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.54K
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.92K
No position
Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.44K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26K
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8K
Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $$6,900 (HIGH) in February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62K
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26K
Yes position
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.21K
Yes position
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.08K
No position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.93K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.87K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.63K
Yes position
Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42K
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41K
No position
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16K
Yes position
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1K
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82K
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72K
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?Yes 99.3% 1,688.98 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?Yes 98.8% 210.01 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 24.3% 777.85 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?Yes 99.2% 10,085.85 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?Yes 98.3% 10 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?Yes 98.2% 225.28 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 20% 532.54 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?Yes 96.4% 1,150 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?Yes 95.8% 139.5 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?Yes 94.9% 102.25 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?Yes 94.4% 164.29 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No 99.7% 41,176.74 shares