No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.13M
- Potential profit
- $4.13M
- User PnL
- -$21.98K
Polymarket Trader
onepingonly
0x950ea3d54a52dca7ec54e7a0338812450268f8e5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $53.56K
- Realized PnL
- $5.93K
- Win rate
- 71.4%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.69M
- Potential profit
- $1.69M
- User PnL
- -$20.76K
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $50K
- Potential payout
- $400K
- Potential profit
- $350K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$67.36K
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $30K
- User PnL
- -$3.6K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.51K
- Potential profit
- $11.51K
- User PnL
- -$6.67K
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $287.89
- Potential payout
- $5.01K
- Potential profit
- $4.72K
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$705.42
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $2.45K
- Potential payout
- $4.76K
- Potential profit
- $2.31K
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $452.39
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $823.82
- Potential payout
- $4.02K
- Potential profit
- $3.19K
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$176.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.88K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.69K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $558.76
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.84
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.48
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.32K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?No 44.4% 10,000 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?No 58.1% 8,333.33 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?No 60.2% 8,197 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.6% 1,666,666.67 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 53.7% 13,912.19 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 31% 46,513 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 34% 50,000 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 17.8% 3,367.56 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 30% 25,000 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes 12% 30,000 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 33.6% 50,000 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 30% 49,840.99 shares