No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.99
Polymarket Trader
Ivan342
0x95138b60550ef6852008ff24952073096a2a5546
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $33.3
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.26
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.37
Y
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.99
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.26
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.37
Y
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $1.14
No position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 90.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.12
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Will Al-Hilal win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will the LA Clippers win the Western Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Tom Hanks be named in Epstein files?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.46
Yes position
Will Zhipu AI have a #1 AI model this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell say "Tariff" during the March meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Elon tweet 600-624 times March 7-14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will Trump say "bigly" by March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No 86% 111 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 3% 32 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 3.3% 32 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 96.6% 89 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 96.6% 89 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 84% 102 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.8% 24 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.2% 115 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 94.1% 91 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 10% 30 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 11% 135 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 95.5% 92 shares