Polymarket Trader

helloiamworld

0x951e04e7e699882031e224763b558f7e26d4cd9c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $119.76K
Realized PnL: $56.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.1%
Current value: $46.52K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $3.47K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $1.52K

No position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $19.85K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: $530

No position

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $19.23K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $769.99
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $3.03K

No position

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $11.27K
Potential payout: $12.45K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $62.25

No position

Clavicular charged again by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.48K
Potential profit: $10.48K
User PnL: -$7.61K

No position

Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $9K
Potential payout: $10.35K
Potential profit: $1.35K
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $2.21K

No position

Chirayu Rana divorced?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $9.35K
Potential payout: $9.38K
Potential profit: $32.83
User PnL: $126.64

No position

Anthropic CEO arrested?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $2.4K
Potential payout: $2.41K
Potential profit: $15.69
User PnL: $105.03

No position

Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $800
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $200
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $110

No position

Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $583.49
Potential payout: $587.01
Potential profit: $3.52
User PnL: $55.18

No position

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $476.07
Potential payout: $493.08
Potential profit: $17.01
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $42.16

No position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $262.41
Potential payout: $273.92
Potential profit: $11.5
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$4.66

No position

Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $15.94
Potential payout: $16.01
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $0.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.36K

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.19K

No position

Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.03K

No position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.59K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.84K

No position

Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.01K

Yes position

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.09K

No position

Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67K

No position

ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52K

No position

Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

No position

Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $994.4

No position

Trump out as President by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $880

No position

US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $627.04

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $604.27

No position

Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $497.38

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $449.97

No position

Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $346.32

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $325

No position

ICE shooter charged by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $279.31

No position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250

No position

Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $215.94

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175

No position

Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 99.6% 100,000 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?

No 99.6% 2,123.72 shares
Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?

No 97.1% 55.72 shares
Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?

No 99% 213.2 shares
Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?

No 99% 30,983.8 shares
Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?

No 88.9% 67,000 shares
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

No 99.8% 159,603.99 shares
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

No 99.8% 97,134.59 shares
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?

No 99.1% 20,000 shares
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Yes 97.5% 7,295.54 shares
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Yes 96.9% 2,521.06 shares
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Yes 96.9% 21,886.55 shares