Yes position
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $21
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $179
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$7
Polymarket Trader
skullyhoofd
0x953e1a5f7b933b246f7c1e611358897f8332465a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $111.18
- Realized PnL
- $282.12
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Current value
- $19.4
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $80.6
- Multiplier
- 5.15x
- User PnL
- -$15.6
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $6.38
- Potential payout
- $75.01
- Potential profit
- $68.63
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$19.13
Yes position
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $2M before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $23.67
- Potential payout
- $52.02
- Potential profit
- $28.35
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $39.58
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
Yes position
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $20.02
- Potential profit
- $19.93
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$10.92
Yes position
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $12.25
- Potential payout
- $15.81
- Potential profit
- $3.56
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $9.61
Yes position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $7.83
- Potential payout
- $10.04
- Potential profit
- $2.21
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $3M before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $4.71
- Potential profit
- $4.56
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$2.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 end of November?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.01
Yes position
Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.18
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17
Yes position
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $290 end of November?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
Yes position
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.4
Yes position
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $280 end of November?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.76
Yes position
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $270 end of November?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
Yes position
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.86
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
No position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 29, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- $1.94
Yes position
Will Barack Obama attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $260 end of November?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will Brian Flores be the next Cleveland Browns Head Coach?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $220 end of November?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Player 831 win Beast Games: Season 2?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $3M before 2027?Yes 3% 30.37 shares
- Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $3M before 2027?Yes 3.1% 14.3 shares
- Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $4M before 2027?Yes 3% 25.5 shares
- Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $2M before 2027?Yes 5% 75 shares
- Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $4M before 2027?Yes 4.3% 15 shares
- Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $1M before 2027?Yes 8% 260.96 shares
- Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $1M before 2027?Yes 9% 25 shares
- Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $4M before 2027?Yes 5.2% 5 shares
- Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $4M before 2027?Yes 5.4% 5 shares
- Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $4M before 2027?Yes 5.8% 5 shares
- Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $4M before 2027?Yes 6.1% 5 shares
- Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $4M before 2027?Yes 6.2% 5 shares