Yes position
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $179.4
- Potential payout
- $920
- Potential profit
- $740.6
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$339.6
Polymarket Trader
kirsan777
0x95593534f6a6f5069fcbeb39039b25d7626e8bc2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $998.7
- Realized PnL
- $190.14
- Win rate
- 68.8%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $219.14
- Potential payout
- $466.25
- Potential profit
- $247.11
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- $119.14
Yes position
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $161.67
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $171.67
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $61.67
Yes position
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $244.61
- Potential payout
- $296.5
- Potential profit
- $51.89
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $144.61
Yes position
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $131.9
- Potential payout
- $172.41
- Potential profit
- $40.52
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $31.9
Yes position
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 40.9%
- Current value
- $61.99
- Potential payout
- $151.59
- Potential profit
- $89.61
- Multiplier
- 2.45x
- User PnL
- -$38.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Gaethje position
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.7
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
No position
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $44.56
Yes position
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.89
Volkanovski position
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.18
No position
Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.01
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.91
Yes position
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.91
Yes position
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
Saint Denis position
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
No position
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$25.81
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Fiziev position
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
No position
Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$69.88
Yes position
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$74.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 21.4% 466.25 shares
- GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 33.7% 296.5 shares
- Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 66% 151.59 shares
- Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 30% 333.33 shares
- Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes 58% 172.41 shares
- Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 68.5% 170.55 shares
- Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 9% 277.93 shares
- Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes 58.6% 170.56 shares
- Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes 36% 277.93 shares
- UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)Saint Denis 75% 26.67 shares
- UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)Fiziev 49% 81.63 shares
- UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)Volkanovski 57% 70.18 shares