Polymarket Trader

eser

@mamiomami46

0x956740e16be747f8a6e5fa61943c7ade5a2e23b7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $78.95
Realized PnL: -$10.6
Win rate: 45.5%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 22
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.97K
Potential profit: $6.97K
User PnL: -$6.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.4K
Potential profit: $5.4K
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.52K
Potential profit: $3.52K
User PnL: -$3.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.96K
Potential profit: $2.96K
User PnL: -$2.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.49K
Potential profit: $2.49K
User PnL: -$2.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $78.95
Potential payout: $367.2
Potential profit: $288.25
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$9.18

Yes position

Will Alex de Minaur win Wimbledon 2025?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $315
Potential profit: $315
User PnL: -$1.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.1
Potential profit: $30.1
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.75
Potential profit: $18.75
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.5
Potential profit: $15.5
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.42
Potential profit: $14.42
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.04
Potential profit: $13.04
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.15
Potential profit: $9.15
User PnL: -$1.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4AM ET

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.35
Potential profit: $6.35
User PnL: -$3.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.06
Potential profit: $4.06
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will Holstein Kiel win on 2025-12-07?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.44
Potential profit: $3.44
User PnL: -$2.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.11

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 190–204 times June 20–27?

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 235–249 times June 20–27?

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 250–264 times June 20–27?

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 265–279 times June 20–27?

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 220–234 times June 20–27?

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 205–219 times June 20–27?

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 280–294 times June 20–27?

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election?

Ends May 28, 2023

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$47.78

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$92.37

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 8% 18.75 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? AND Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

5.2% 26.97 shares
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5 AND Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 AND France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5 AND Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 AND Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 0.5 AND Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5 AND Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5 AND Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5

27.9% 125.41 shares
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5 AND Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 AND Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 AND Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 0.5

58.3% 61.6 shares
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5 AND Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 AND Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 AND Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 0.5

56.8% 61.6 shares
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?

Yes 23% 124.72 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will France win on 2026-06-22? AND Will England win on 2026-06-27? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? AND Will England win on 2026-06-23?

22.7% 30.89 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Yes 46% 13.04 shares
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?

Yes 25% 25.54 shares
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

Switzerland 59% 3.39 shares
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?

Yes 27% 4.64 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

Yes 48% 2.08 shares