Polymarket Trader

kfrwx

0x956ccfaa6f519b18b09e7eede25da1fe3239de39

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $188.06
Realized PnL: $3.58K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

South Florida position

Old Dominion vs. South Florida

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.73K
Potential profit: $2.73K
User PnL: -$1.53K

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $188.06
Potential payout: $199.01
Potential profit: $10.95
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.9
Potential profit: $181.9
User PnL: -$143.7

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113
Potential profit: $113
User PnL: -$107.46

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Ball State position

Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Ball State

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.45K

Over position

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.62

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.83

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.88

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.52

No position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.1

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.23

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.78

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.43

No position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Chicago Bulls?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.11

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.51

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

No position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.68

Yes position

Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.4

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.84

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will Elon tweet 500 or more times June 6–13?

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Netanyahu out by March 31?

No 98.3% 157.89 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Yes 96.5% 155.21 shares
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Yes 93.8% 35.93 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?

No 96.9% 107.46 shares
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Yes 94% 15.88 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?

No 94.4% 14.93 shares
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Ball State

Ball State 54% 6.72 shares
Games Total: O/U 3.5

Over 78% 143.71 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Yes 94.2% 60.56 shares
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?

Yes 98.2% 22.86 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in September?

No 99.3% 19.35 shares
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

No 96.3% 41.66 shares