No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $35.4
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $4.6
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $15.4
Polymarket Trader
0x9586...61a3
0x958658f6901c51f3231f52058df1f1740fd961a3
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $93.06
- Realized PnL
- -$6.86
- Win rate
- 70%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.6%
- Current value
- $13.98
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $7.02
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
No position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $8.94
No position
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $12.72
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $0.28
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $1.74
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $10.26
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.98
No position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $6.84
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $1.16
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $0.56
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $7.44
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
No position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $1.82
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- $5.8
Yes position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $1.18
Yes position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Multiplier
- 17.86x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$14.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?Yes 10% 12 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 72% 8 shares
- Modi out by December 31, 2026?No 90.8% 5 shares
- Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 13% 8 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 85.6% 10 shares
- Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No 97% 5 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 90.9% 9 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?Yes 9.1% 16 shares
- Will Iran legalize gay marriage?No 97.7% 13 shares
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?Yes 11% 11 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 31% 21 shares
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 18% 22 shares