No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $50K
- User PnL
- -$350
Polymarket Trader
Binturung
0x9589a01c747dbb166718f81087220dc4071439b0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $37.27K
- Realized PnL
- $11.89K
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $50K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $3.16K
- Potential payout
- $42.16K
- Potential profit
- $39K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $32.67
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $165
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $29.84K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$135
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $373.55
- Potential payout
- $24.1K
- Potential profit
- $23.73K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$84.35
Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $136.5
- Potential payout
- $18.2K
- Potential profit
- $18.06K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$63.7
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $232.2
- Potential payout
- $17.2K
- Potential profit
- $16.97K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$71.4
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $1.07K
- Potential payout
- $16.9K
- Potential profit
- $15.83K
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- $194.35
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $192.5
- Potential payout
- $15.4K
- Potential profit
- $15.21K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.7
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $378.42
- Potential payout
- $14.28K
- Potential profit
- $13.9K
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $135.66
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $179.8
- Potential payout
- $11.6K
- Potential profit
- $11.42K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$72.89
No position
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $10.34K
- Potential payout
- $10.4K
- Potential profit
- $62.4
- User PnL
- $925.7
No position
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $6.06K
- Potential payout
- $6.77K
- Potential profit
- $710.68
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $304.58
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $622.75
- Potential payout
- $5.3K
- Potential profit
- $4.68K
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $163.07
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $197.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.8K
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $4.97K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $27.5
- User PnL
- $22.5
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $4.48K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $525
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $4.42K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $575
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.5K
- Potential profit
- $4.5K
- User PnL
- -$54
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $142.8
- Potential payout
- $2.4K
- Potential profit
- $2.26K
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$58.8
No position
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $81.03
- Potential payout
- $81.6
- Potential profit
- $0.57
- User PnL
- $2.69
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $65.21
- Potential payout
- $66
- Potential profit
- $0.79
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $896.39
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $766.47
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $600
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $590.01
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $573.54
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $290
No position
US military draft authorized in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $164.34
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $120
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.4
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $35
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.86
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETDown 26% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETDown 27% 92.59 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETUp 77% 6.49 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETUp 23% 108.7 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETUp 4% 625 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 41.4% 37,999.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 40.9% 10,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 88% 10,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 98.7% 5,927.57 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No 90% 2,400 shares
- Will Putin visit China by May 31?No 0.1% 10,000 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No 0.1% 20,000 shares