Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
0x958e...5b13
0x958eb35fa6768d1940ec61fa36a37e5acde05b13
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $18.44
- Realized PnL
- -$32.32
- Win rate
- 20%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $18.44
- Potential payout
- $261.87
- Potential profit
- $243.44
- Multiplier
- 14.20x
- User PnL
- -$18.51
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.73
- Potential profit
- $26.73
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $128.86
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.28
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.35
Yes position
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.32
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.57
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Multiplier
- 4.83x
- User PnL
- -$11.71
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$37.78
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- -$47.37
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$49.87
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?Yes 1.9% 1,290.56 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?Yes 19% 653.89 shares
- Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?Yes 10.6% 898.55 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 25% 362.32 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 0.4% 2,857.14 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 0.7% 2,857.14 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 27.6% 362.32 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 31% 57.14 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 7% 52.63 shares
- Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?Yes 15% 333.33 shares
- Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes 0.1% 123.02 shares
- Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes 40.6% 123.03 shares